Showing posts with label Theresa May. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Theresa May. Show all posts

Monday, July 12, 2021

Political Leadership: Storytellers (Donald Trump & Theresa May) 1/5

'Stop the steal'

'Grab her by the pussy'

'Build the wall'

'Mexican rapists'

'Rocket man'

'China virus'

'When the looting starts, the shooting starts'

Donald Trump is the most formidable storyteller of a generation. His comments are foul, and remembered by millions. To gloat that he will be judged by history ignores that he is able to shape what we consider as history. That is the power of the storyteller. 

But what is it to be a storyteller? Why is it the most important of our five abilities for any political leader? And what happens if you don't have it?

Political Leadership: Introduction (Theresa May) 0/5

The Qualities of Political Leaders: Introduction

I didn’t expect to ever have a selfie with Theresa May, but on a hot June day in 2017, at a provincial fair, there she was. I had a photo with her, plastering social media with it. 

And there it drew some backlash; after the election and with austerity still biting, she was not a popular figure. But when are political leaders ever popular figures? They may enjoy a ‘honeymoon’ initially, but the mood always turn against them. It is too difficult to both govern and please.



Tuesday, April 07, 2020

And Now For Something Completely Different (3/3)

Thatcher's out. But who follows the century's greatest stateswoman? This is a hotpotch period, as Prime Ministers grapple with Maggie's economic legacy, but also have to respond to a series of devastating global crises.


John Major: 1990-1997 (Cons)


Just as Callaghan was overshadowed by his successor, plain John Major was also overshadowed by Thatcher, and, similarly, had to face an energised opposition.


And he didn't do too badly. Sound economic management meant a decline in unemployment and recovery from recession. 

Successful involvement in the First Gulf War, and opt-outs from closer European integration raised his standing, as did beginning the Northern Ireland peace process. 

However, in 1992 was 'Black Wednesday' where leaving a European currency exchange system crashed the pound and permanently wiped out Major's poll lead. This and continual party sleaze gave the revived Labour Party vast ammunition. 

Major couldn't compete with their opposition's energy and in 1997 was crushed on a scale not seen since 1832.


Tony Blair: 1997-2007 (Lab)


Blair's premiership sprawls everywhere. Big government, big spending, big bureaucracy; 'blairism' simply swamped the political system. Yet underneath the flab was a redefining of Britain not seen since the sixties. 

Blair made the state great again. Welfare, education and health were entirely overhauled, with vast building programs to boot.
Legislation introduced the minimum wage and expanded police powers, while the army took an active role abroad in places such as Kosovo and Sierra Leone. 

The Anglo-American relationship soared, but so did the UK-EU partnership, an unusual balancing act.

Blair embodied the idea of a 'presidential' prime minister. One of the greatest speakers in Downing Street's history - he played the Commons 'like the London Palladium' - his presentation was second-to-none, which resulted in comfortable victories in three consecutive elections. 

Those successes inflated Blair's presidentialism further; he was in charge and expected everyone else to fall in. 
Decisions were made in a small team and above the heads of ministers, with intense effort devoted to 'spinning' the media favourably. 

While this allowed him to overcome crises such as foot-and-mouth, Northern Ireland, and, most crucially, 9/11, it also slowly came back to bite him. Poor decision-making and accountability led to the blunder of the Iraq War. 

His hubris also destroyed a very successful working relationship with Chancellor Gordon Brown. Despite winning a third election in 2005, under pressure on those two fronts Blair was forced to bow out in mid-2007. Brown subsequently took over. 


Gordon Brown: 2007-2010 (Lab)


A doctoral graduate, an efficient Chancellor, a 'brooding' figure with a monstrous temper, Gordon Brown probably saved the world financial system. 

In October 2008, when the markets went into free-fall over subprime loans, 'there was a real possibility of a total banking collapse'. 

Brown first correctly judged that a vast bailout was needed to prop up the banking system (£500bn in the UK), and then also convinced much of the western world of that urgent need. 

America, France and Germany all followed suit, calming the markets and likely stopping a global societal collapse (although there was no avoiding a global recession.)

However well managed, an economic crash does not lend itself to electoral victory, alas. 

Brown had rejected a good election opportunity in 2007, and his chance of winning an election permanently declined after Lehman Brothers collapsed; in 2010 he oversaw an inevitable Labour defeat. But the Conservatives couldn't quite make a majority.


David Cameron: 2010-2016 (Cons with Liberal Democrat coalition until 2015)


A youthful contrast to the sulky Brown, David Cameron was determined to carry a modernised, socially liberal Conservative party into power, and overturn New Labour's 'big government' legacy. However, he had to do it for five years with Liberal Democrat help.

Head of Britain's first official coalition since 1945, Cameron oversaw an unexpectedly stable government that, in order to stabilise the economy post-financial crash, conducted deep austerity measures. 

These proved controversial, with the NHS under increasing pressure (despite not being directly affected) and welfare spending sharply reduced. The legacy of austerity will continue to provoke serious dispute for years, although by doing so he successfully reduced the budget deficit - something that often draws praise.



Cameron's other memorable moment was the calling of an EU membership referendum in 2016 in order to secure a 'remain' vote and end divisions in the Conservative Party. 

But despite winning a general election the year before, the national mood swung against him with a slim majority in favour of 'Leave'; a shock result. Cameron promptly resigned, triggering a Party leadership election.


Theresa May: 2016-2019 (Cons)


As strong and stable as a magic money tree, Theresa May's time in office connotes a Shakespearean tragedy: started mediocre, and only got worse. Despite promising social change and 'ending austerity', hers was a single-issue premiership.

After doing very little of substance, May confidently called a general election in 2017. 

Unexpectedly, however, the Labour Party, under socialist Jeremy Corbyn, rapidly ate into her thin majority, forcing her to return to Parliament humiliated and dependent on some sulky Northern Irish unionists for a majority.
And her own party, torn over Brexit, failed to provide coherent support.

Bereft of ideas, short on allies, presiding over a Party in its worst mood since the mid-1800s, May was stuck in limbo, with power draining from her every time she failed to pass a Brexit Bill. Obviously without popular support, confirmed in damning European Elections in mid-2019, she was forced to resign, having achieved little.

Her successor, however, is another story...


Read Part 1 again here, or Part 2 here.


Thanks for reading! We hope you enjoyed this series - it took a lot of research and writing to make it happen. Consider leaving a comment, or listening to our podcast episodes here to show your support.

If you'd like to read further, the sources we used are below. All are well-written and enjoyable, but we'd particularly recommend 'Citizen Clem' - a biography of Clement Attlee - and 'Hope and Glory' - British politics from 1900-2000.


(All quotes and information from these sources or Wikipedia)
  • 'Citizen Clem' - John Bew: Clement Attlee biography, especially interesting for World War Two and early-post war politics
  • 'Winds of Change' - Peter Hennessey: a story of Britain in the early 60s, as Macmillan reaches his high and low, eventually replaced by Douglas-Home.
  • Hope and Glory' - Peter Clarke: a concise, wide-ranging discussion of British politics through the century. 
  • 'For the Record' - David Cameron: memoirs by David Cameron
  • 'A Journey' - Tony Blair: memoirs by Tony Blair
  • https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2010/feb/21/gordon-brown-saved-banks
  • https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/feb/06/gordon-brown-save-world-uk: both useful resources for understanding Brown and the Bailout

Friday, December 23, 2016

British Politics - Pt.3

Everything I've forgotten, plus a few other bits.

As I'm sure you're aware, our Prime Minister, or PM, is the Conservative, Theresa May.
She got the top job after David Cameron stepped down, following the public's decision to 'leave' in the EU referendum. Normally, to find a new party leader/PM, there is a formal election process; the candidates campaign across the party, then all members are allowed to vote for their choice.

Crabb (top left), Gove (bottom left) May (bottom middle),
Fox (bottom right), and Leadsom (top right). Lovely door for sale (top middle).

However, in the running for the PM everyone just sort of dropped out, or was eliminated, way before the elctions. Boris Johnson (a favoured candidate) withdrew before it even started; his political ally Michael Gove declared his intention to compete against him. Liam Fox was eliminated as he didn't have enough support, then Stephen Crabb withdrew. Gove was eliminated in the second round- he didn't have enough supporters either - leaving just Andrea Leadsom and Theresa May. The media put a lot of pressure on Leadsom after she made some controversial remarks, and she pulled out too. This led to May, the only competitor left, being chosen as PM. All this happened in the space of 17 days.


The 2015 election results. The conservatives have
a slim majority.
Normally, however, a Prime Minister becomes a Prime Minister through a General Election - when every registered voter has one vote to choose the person that they want to represent their area and become an MP (although most voters just vote for an MP depending on which party they're part of).


The country is split into 650 zones, called constituencies, and each one is represented by an MP. If the UKIP candidate wanted to become Prime Minister (you see the joke I made there?), they would have to have the majority of constituencies (326) so that they can vote new laws through Parliament.

In the 2015 General Election, the Conservatives won outright, but with a slender majority. This means that if some Conservative MPs oppose a bill, it only takes a few of them voting with opposition MPs to stop it being passed. (Remember, everyone in Parliament can vote on a law, and Labour and Conservatives normally vote against each other).

But...and here's the clincher...what if you don't win a majority?


He (on the right) is Nick Clegg, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats. On the left, as I hope you'd know, is David Cameron; the former Conservative leader and ex-PM.

The problem?

In the 2010 election, there was a 'Hung Parliament'. This is when no party has a clear majority because the votes are so widely distributed. No-one could legally form a government, and if a solution wasn't found then there would be repeated elections until a majority was reached.

The solution?

The Conservatives had the most votes, (307)  and if they could ally with another smaller party - say, the Liberal Democrats - they'd have a majority. This is known as a 'Coalition' and it last happened in WWII. The Lib Dems had 57 seats; it could work. But Labour were sniffing around, and were open to allying with SNP (Scottish National Party) and the Lib Dems - this would've given them a majority too.

And?

It took just four days to thrash out a deal with the Tories; Labour's leader, Gordon Brown, wasn't desirable for the Lib Dems.  A few minor pledges had to be dropped, but negotiations were largely peaceful and set the tone for the five years to come, and I can now stop writing.


And that brings us full circle! Kind of. Hopefully. Potentially.

Ideally, you now know Britain's main political parties, how Parliament functions, and the way elections work. You can talk at length about UKIP's shortcomings *cough* of which there are many *cough*, discuss the intricacies of passing law, and question Theresa May's legitimacy as Prime Minister.


As always, give improvements, suggestions, or ideas in the comments below. After Christmas, we'll be looking at war in Yemen. Not strictly political, but then again, neither is Donald Trump.

Merry Christmas!


You! Yeah, you! We reckon you're gonna love this stuff as well...