Trump wins!...?

Oh.

That was the reaction of most, stunned, individuals in Britain upon hearing of Donald Trump's shock victory in the USA last Tuesday. It was almost totally unexpected by the rest of the world - how could such a man be given the leadership of the most powerful nation on the planet?

The Democrats are, for now, broken. Their spine has been snapped in a totally 'Bane-breaks-Batman' move (You know, in the sewers...where Batman walks in all cocky and he gets humiliated and wrecked? Quite a lot like this election come to think of it). Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio (reliable Democrat states) fell to the Republican party as did most of the swing states in the 'rust belt' - an area where much of America's now abandoned industry lies. The two questions that the Democrats need to ask themselves are: 'Why?' and 'How?' Why did The Donald win? And how did he achieve this? Thankfully, a lovely soul has complied an easy-to-read analysis!


How:

As I briefly mentioned, the Democrats rely on a solid bloc of states in the north and west as cash cows; they can use them as a dependable source of votes before they even get to the swing states, the most critical voting grounds.

In the Obama-Romney election in 2012 (Map below), you can see that the democrats have secured a medium sized block in the north-west. Wisconsin (WI), Ohio (OH), and Virginia (VA) are all blue. This gave Barack a comfortable number of votes over Romney



Obama-Romney 2012 (Republicans in red, Democrats in blue)

However, in 2016 (no map available) it was already very close between the two candidates amongst these sates, and then Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio and Pennsylvania all voted Republican. This was a crushing blow, and gave Trump a combined total of 54 extra votes!




The loss of these states was a critical blow to the Democrat party and was  the main reason HOW they lost the election. 'Why' is significantly more revealing.

Why:

Throughout all the campaigning, the media consistently focused on Republican supporters who garnered controversy; those who were racist or xenophobic; those who were misogynist or just plain dumb They captured the attention of the world and gave us the impression that it could only be a minority that were voting for Trump. Not everyone in the USA was that racist or offensive, surely?

And we were right. Not everyone IS that offensive or racist, or was attracted to Trump because of his consistent prejudices and the scandals he endured. But people were attracted because of his pledges to reform society and his promises to 'Make America Great Again' (commonly termed as 'populism', this is the art of spouting rhetoric and making grandiose statements to fit with whatever the general public wants to hear). It was extremely effective at attracting disaffected voters who felt that D.C had done nothing for them in the last eight years. They, just as Trump said, 'wanted that swamp drained' and a new, refreshing, and genuine, politician in power.

This quiet block of voters (most of whom aren't on social media, or own large businesses) were simply overlooked by the Democrat campaign team. And when push came to shove, they turned up in huge numbers to vote...for Trump.


Thanks for reading and please keep an eye out for the next blog, coming soon!


 And huge thanks to Joel Bishop for inspiring me to write a blog, check his stuff out at http://lennyfilmreviews.blogspot.co.uk/